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Mensaje: <blockquote data-quote="gercanz" data-source="post: 661004" data-attributes="member: 2785">Bueno disculpame, pero creo que si viene al caso!!No creo que va a pasar en 100 años, creo que hechos muy graves se ciernen en el mundo.Creo que vamos a recuperar Malvinas, antes de lo que muchos creen!!Saludos---------- Post added at 11:46  ---------- Previous post was at 11:14  ----------DAN ATKINSON: Is US investment guru right to say Britain is finished? I'm afraid there's a horrible chance he isBy Dan Atkinson, Economics Editor, Mail On Sunday Last updated at 8:06 AM on 22nd January 2009Comments (29) Add to My Stories With jittery share prices, a currency heading for parity with the Tanzanian shilling and US investment guru Jim Rogers telling one and all that Britain is washed up, it seemed a good idea to seek solace by reminding ourselves that other times have seen problems just as bad, or, at least, different.Phillip Whitehead's history of Britain in the Seventies - The Writing on the Wall - seemed ideal for this purpose.International investor Jim Rogers has warned that sterling is 'finished' - and today the pound fell more than two cents to hit a low of $1.3965The early years of that decade were extraordinary: an overbearing Prime Minister had ordered his Chancellor to swamp the system with new money, interest rates were artificially low, public spending was running wild, overseas autocrats were strangling Europe's energy supplies and the Government was obsessed with concreting over the countryside and building new airport capacity. Yes, indeed, those were very different times.Back then, of course, the 'Britain is finished' theme was commonly heard. Rates of inflation way ahead of those in comparable countries led to chronic downward pressure on the currency.After a huge sterling crisis in summer 1975, things went quiet for a bit, but in the autumn of the following year, the plunging pound forced the Government to arrange a loan from the International Monetary Fund. Are we heading the same way? Quite possibly.There are many lessons from the events of 1976, not least the frightening speed with which markets can turn viciously against governments. In the summer of that year, it seemed the worst may be over. The trade unions had agreed a second year of wage restraint and inflation was on the way down.More...BEN LAURANCE: UK unemployment is now higher than Slovenia and Romania - but is ministry of hole digging really the answer? Sterling's finished, says Soros partner as the pound plunges to new low MARY ELLEN SYNON: Unknown, unqualified and unsackable men with unpronounceable names now have more control over British business than Ministers But suggestions of incontinence in public borrowing and spending goaded the markets into repeated attacks on sterling and British Government paper - gilts - in the mid-Seventies, culminating in the September 1976 debacle. This is worth remembering now when inflation and pay rises are subdued but State spending is anything but.Furthermore, if powerful unions and pay inflation are no longer in the picture, their place may well have been taken by supplicant bankers, forever requiring new types of hand-outs and guarantees from the Government.Do we actually know what our exposure, as taxpayers, is likely to be to these guarantees? Ministers seem to suggest that most of these are unlikely to be called in, but how can they know?  TODAY'S POLL   Do you think Britain is 'finished'?   Yes    No VOTE     POLL RESULTS   Do you think Britain is 'finished'?Yes59%No41%Thank you for voting  Close All polls Click to view yesterday's poll results The irony is that a financial crisis triggered by the fear that banks were sitting on potentially toxic liabilities that could not be properly identified is now being ‘solved’ by the Government assuming itself a vast exposure to those self-same possibly poisonous financial instruments, with potentially disastrous consequences for the public finances.Finally, financial markets have become vastly more efficient and powerful - even over-mighty - than they were 33 years ago. News footage of the 1976 sterling crisis looks comically old-fashioned today, with money men sporting inadvisable ties and unfortunate sideboards gripping ancient telephone sets as they conducted their trades.It will be very different this time round.As a rule, it is a good idea to treat ‘investment gurus’ with the same scepticism as those gurus of which The Beatles and others were so enamoured in the old days.But an exception ought to be made on this occasion for Jim Rogers. There is a horrible chance he is right.The Gods that Failed: How the financial elite have gambled away our futures, by Larry Elliott and Dan Atkinson; Vintage; 2009Read more: <a href="http://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-1125702/DAN-ATKINSON-Is-US-investment-guru-right-say-Britain-finished-Im-afraid-theres-horrible-chance-is.html#ixzz0gPjGOPbN">http://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-1125702/DAN-ATKINSON-Is-US-investment-guru-right-say-Britain-finished-Im-afraid-theres-horrible-chance-is.html#ixzz0gPjGOPbN</a>Disculpen si pongo este diario ingles.La votacion de la gente: gb Esta terminada?Si:59 %NO: 41%Saca tus conclusiones Finn!!!Tal vez le podrias dar consejos a Jim Rogers, donde poner la plata!!</blockquote>

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